Entrepreneurship Theories Asimov

The Psychohistory Encapsulator

Accessing Archive: Seldon Plan // Terminus Sector
"The Empire will vanish and all its good with it. The accumulated knowledge will decay and the order it has imposed will vanish." — Hari Seldon

If the market is a Galactic Empire, then Entrepreneurship is the force that shortens the dark ages. This model views new ventures not as acts of individual heroism, but as statistical inevitabilities in the flow of Psychohistory.

The system maps theories to the Seldon Plan: predicting how vast economic aggregates shift, break, and rebuild.

I. The Seldon Plan (Macro-Deterministic)

Psychohistory cannot predict the actions of a single individual, but it can predict the fall of a market. These theories view entrepreneurship as a result of environmental pressures.

  • Population Ecology: The Mathematics of the Mob. Just as Seldon calculated the statistical flow of quadrillions, this theory argues environmental selection rates determine survival.
  • Institutional Theory: The Inertia of Empire. Institutions create the "Isomorphism" that forces organizations to look alike. Entrepreneurs find the cracks in the Imperial bureaucracy.

II. The Seldon Crisis (Process & Crisis)

The Plan reaches specific "nodes" or crises—moments where the Foundation (the Venture) must evolve or die.

  • Greiner’s Growth Model: The Crisis of Autonomy. Predictable nodes of leadership, red tape, and control. The solution to one crisis plants the seeds for the next.
  • Effectuation: The Salvor Hardin Approach. When a crisis hits, you leverage the means at hand to navigate the immediate threat. "Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent."
ANOMALY DETECTED

III. The Mule (Disruption)

Seldon's math worked perfectly until The Mule arrived. He is the mutant, the Black Swan that statistical models could not predict.

  • Great Man Theory: One singular, powerful vision can derail the entire galactic economy.
  • Chaos & Complexity: Small variations in initial conditions result in vast, unpredictable changes.

∑ (Market Forces) + Δ (Innovation) = 1,000 Year Plan

"The Prime Radiant displays the entire history of humanity as a glowing stream of equations. To the entrepreneur, this is the business plan; to the market, it is destiny."

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